Long range weather forecasts

Our long-range seasonal forecasts provide information about atmospheric and oceanic conditions up to seven months into the future, long range weather forecasts. They are produced every month with a member ensemble at a horizontal resolution of around 36 km. Annual forecasts are produced with the same system every three months and extend 13 months into the future. Long-range charts include differences or anomalies from a long-term model-based climatology and probabilities of above normal, normal or below normal conditions.

Aside from chilly conditions this weekend and early next week, there should be an extended period of mild weather. It will be changeable through the coming week with the most disturbed weather in the second half, and there will be some wintriness over high ground, mainly in northern areas. Through the first half of March more settled conditions should develop, especially during the second week, as high pressure makes more of an appearance. Mid-March onwards is very uncertain but there is a chance of some colder weather developing. With weak high pressure moving across, the weekend should have just a few showers dotted around, some wintry over higher ground as chillier air moves in. Overnight fog patches are possible, with temperatures dropping near or just below average. Sunday will become cloudier with winds picking up, especially in the southern halves of England and Wales, with some more persistent rain possible towards southern coasts.

Long range weather forecasts

These include day outlooks, monthly outlooks, and seasonal outlooks. Unlike regular "zone forecasts" issued by a local National Weather Service office, the climatological outlooks provide probability forecasts for both temperature and precipitation, divided into tercile groups: below normal, near normal, and above normal. For information about how to read the latest 8 to 14 day outlooks, for example, click here. Latest Day Precipitation Outlook. Latest Day Temperature Outlook. Latest 1-Month Precipitation Outlook. Latest 1-Month Temperature Outlook. Latest 3-Month Precipitation Outlook. Latest 3-Month Temperature Outlook. Please Contact Us. Please try another search. Multiple locations were found. Please select one of the following:. Location Help. News Headlines.

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Early rain across the south clearing with increasing sunny spells on Wednesday after any fog patches in central areas lift. Later in the day cloud and rain approach the far northwest before pushing across the UK on Thursday. This sets the scene for the following days as spells of rain are expected across all areas at times between brief settled spells, wettest overall in the west and northwest, where it will also sometimes be windy. Late in the period more settled conditions develop in the east as rain occasionally runs across western areas in a more southerly wind direction. Temperatures are most likely to be around or a little above average, though some short-lived colder interludes remain likely. Increasing likelihood that a more blocked weather pattern will develop with more settled conditions most likely affecting the east with winds favouring a more south or south-westerly direction mid-March, bringing most rainfall across western areas and largely drier to the east.

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Long range weather forecasts

These include day outlooks, monthly outlooks, and seasonal outlooks. Unlike regular "zone forecasts" issued by a local National Weather Service office, the climatological outlooks provide probability forecasts for both temperature and precipitation, divided into tercile groups: below normal, near normal, and above normal. For information about how to read the latest 8 to 14 day outlooks, for example, click here. Latest Day Precipitation Outlook. Latest Day Temperature Outlook. Latest 1-Month Precipitation Outlook. Latest 1-Month Temperature Outlook. Latest 3-Month Precipitation Outlook. Latest 3-Month Temperature Outlook. Please Contact Us.

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Latest 1-Month Temperature Outlook. However, there will be a chance of rain trying to edge into northern and western areas at times. It could lead to a more blocked pattern with high pressure building to the north and north-west, while high pressure to the east could decline. Follow us on Facebook. Mean temperatures will be around normal or just slightly above normal. It should be drier than average but occasional showers are likely, some of which could be wintry if this pattern develops. Find out more about how the extended-range forecast is produced. The state of the oceans and the top part of the Earth's land masses can vary relatively slowly, providing a potential source of predictability in the extended range through their interaction with the atmosphere. Temperatures will fall back to normal and it will become slightly drier across the country too. Follow us on Twitter. April and May however are expected to be above average and trend between 0. With one or two low pressure systems moving across from the Atlantic unsettled weather will continue into the following week, with bands of rain interspersed with brighter but showery conditions.

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Current indications for week 3 suggest that low pressure to the south of Ireland will establish an easterly airflow over the country. Like the medium- and extended-range forecasts, our long-range forecasts are produced using the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System IFS which uses an Earth system model to represent interactions between the atmosphere, ocean, land and other Earth-system components. Multiple locations were found. A predominantly westerly airflow will steer frontal systems across the country at times, with rainfall amounts expected to be above average for most of the country. Temperature Celsius Fahrenheit. Bagley Storm Reports Database. More Weather UK. Follow us on Twitter. Indications suggest that it will become warmer, with mean temperatures increasing above average nationwide. Help us improve our website Take our short survey.