Precipitation outlook

Displays flood and flash flood reports as well as intense rainfall observations for user-selectable time ranges and customizable geographic precipitation outlook. Includes ability to download reports and associated metadata in csv format. Reports include rain, snow, ice, precipitation outlook, and severe weather, as well as other significant information from storm spotters.

Colors show where total precipitation has an increased chance of being higher or lower than usual during the next three months. The darker the shading, the greater the chance for the indicated condition. White areas have equal chances for precipitation totals that are below, near, or above the long-term average median for the next three months. Climate scientists base future climate outlooks on current patterns in the ocean and atmosphere. They examine projections from climate and weather models and consider recent trends.

Precipitation outlook

Federal government websites often end in. The site is secure. Using the climatology period —, the 6—10 day and 8—14 day outlooks depict whether the probability percent chance of above-normal, below-normal, or near-normal conditions during the noted time frame. The monthly and seasonal outlooks depict the probability percent chance of above-or below-normal conditions. The colored shading on the map indicates the degree of confidence the forecaster has in the category indicated. The darker the shading, the greater is the level of confidence. For temperature outlooks, blue hues indicate "below-normal" and orange-red hues indicate "above normal. This map shows the probability percent chance of above-normal, near-normal, or below-normal precipitation 8 to 14 days in the future. This map shows the probability percent chance of above-normal green hues or below-normal brown hues precipitation over the next calendar month. White areas indicates equal chances of above- or below-normal precipitation. This map shows the probability percent chance of above-normal, near-normal, or below-normal temperature 8 to 14 days in the future. This map shows the probability percent chance of above-normal red hues or below-normal blue hues temperatures over the next calendar month. White areas indicates equal chances of above- or below-normal temperatures. Drought is defined as the lack of precipitation over an extended period of time, usually for a season or more, that results in a water shortage. Changes in precipitation can substantially disrupt crops and livestock, influence the frequency and intensity of severe weather events, and affect the quality and quantity of water available for municipal and industrial use.

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These include day outlooks, monthly outlooks, and seasonal outlooks. Unlike regular "zone forecasts" issued by a local National Weather Service office, the climatological outlooks provide probability forecasts for both temperature and precipitation, divided into tercile groups: below normal, near normal, and above normal. For information about how to read the latest 8 to 14 day outlooks, for example, click here. Latest Day Precipitation Outlook. Latest Day Temperature Outlook.

Federal government websites often end in. The site is secure. According to forecasts from the National Weather Service's Weather Prediction Center, heavy snowfall is forecast in the Colorado Front Range area from March 14—15, while heavy precipitation with this storm system is also likely across other parts of the Four Corners states. Aside from portions of the Four Corners states, much of the West is likely to stay dry through Monday evening. Farther east, through Monday evening, half an inch or more of precipitation is forecast from central Nebraska eastward into parts of the Rust Belt. Rainfall amounts of a half inch to 2 inches, with locally higher amounts, are also forecast from central Texas eastward through southeast Oklahoma, Arkansas and southeast Missouri to most of Georgia and Tennessee and southern Kentucky. The National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center's 6—10 day forecast valid March 19—23 favors near-normal or above-normal precipitation across the contiguous U. In Hawaii, below-normal precipitation is likely on all islands except for the Big Island, where near-normal precipitation is favored. Wetter-than-normal weather is favored for central, northern, and western Alaska, while drier-than-normal weather is favored in southeast Alaska.

Precipitation outlook

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Quick Links and Additional Resources. Period of Record. Drought can reduce the water availability and water quality necessary for productive farms, ranches, and grazing lands, resulting in significant negative direct and indirect economic impacts to the agricultural sector. Forecaster's Toolbox Prototype. Periods of drought can lead to inadequate water supply , threatening the health, safety, and welfare of communities. Prototype Snowband Probability Forecasts An interactive tool that depicts areas of heavy snowfall from individual members of high-resolution short range ensemble forecasts. Latest River Forecast Information. Disclaimer Information Quality Help Glossary. Site Section. Customize Your Weather. The site is secure.

Displays flood and flash flood reports as well as intense rainfall observations for user-selectable time ranges and customizable geographic regions.

Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts Legacy Page :. While it is almost certain that ascent will be prolonged and impressive, there are still some questions marks about moisture and position of greatest ascent. For temperature outlooks, blue hues indicate "below-normal" and orange-red hues indicate "above normal. However, at the same time, a leading mb wave will spin out of the primary gyre, causing a local backing the lower level flow leading to the emergence of enhanced moisture being drawn northward from the Gulf of Mexico. High pressure over the southern U. Share facebook twitter envelope print. Using the climatology period —, the 6—10 day and 8—14 day outlooks depict whether the probability percent chance of above-normal, below-normal, or near-normal conditions during the noted time frame. Period of Record. Legend Probability of Below-Normal Precipitation. Air temperature can have wide-ranging effects on natural processes. These sometimes-rapid changes can quickly raise evapotranspiration rates and remove available water from the landscape. One more day of unsettled weather across the Pacific Northwest and northern California before the precipitation gradually tapers off on Wednesday By Thursday morning, snow could be falling in earnest over the mountainous terrain into the Front Range and nearby High Plains of central Colorado.