Week 1 picks against the spread

Find key betting trends and much more in our expert NFL picks this week. Check back later today to find out if any sexy buttocks added, or head over to our picks page for bets on all of today's big matchups, week 1 picks against the spread. There are just 18 weeks in the NFL regular season with a maximum of 16 games per week, but NFL betting is easily the most popular North American sport amongst bettors.

My overall record last season was , which was just behind the collective BGN community at Here are suggestions when trying to beat the odds. But, for all his faults, Kirk Cousins has a track record of being able to beat the bad teams. And the Baker Mayfield-led Bucs are certainly no good. PICK: Vikings The Texans might ultimately be pointed in the right direction under DeMeco Ryans.

Week 1 picks against the spread

Hello, NFL fans. The regular season is finally upon us which means that we are back making our best bets with my NFL projection model. As for my betting strategy, we ended the season poorly last year and while diving into the root causes of the struggles, over the last two seasons, my total bets have been struggling. The model has been positive the last two seasons despite these struggles and I hope we can turn it around. We are coming out of the gates firing this year. Seven total bets with two of those bets being half-unit plays, and we even have two games that I think are worth monitoring if there is some line movement later in the week. Good luck to us! Please make sure to shop around at various sportsbooks for the best possible number. Over the course of the season, a half point here or five cents there will add up. Worst line to bet is the final number that I would make a bet at. For example, if I bet under All bets are to win one unit on favorites and risk one unit on underdogs unless otherwise noted. All odds are from BetMGM and are locked when the pick was made.

Find key betting trends and much more in our expert NFL picks this week. The Jets' stingy defense will capitalize on those mistakes. He had 14 catches for yards with the Bears in

We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. To learn more or opt-out, read our Cookie Policy. When in doubt while betting the most unpredictable week of the NFL season, go with the coaches and quarterbacks you trust most. Here are our picks for every game on the Week 1 slate. Time for another season of NFL picks against the spread. For those who are new here, this is where I pick every single game and try not to embarrass myself.

The NFL season has finally arrived. This year, though, we're going to switch up the formula a bit. After we went last season in our second year of picking and predicting, we're going to narrow our focus and choose our six favorite bets ATS each week. Fewer games to focus on means our winning percentage will skyrocket. The defending NFC champions will be in Foxborough in the late-afternoon slate to kick off another season of Super Bowl contention. And Philly has an ideal matchup, too. The Patriots have an actual offensive coordinator this year and buffed up an already-impressive defense through the draft, so they won't be the easy pickings for good teams they were last year. But the offensive line is a problem, despite what Bill Belichick thinks.

Week 1 picks against the spread

Thanks for contacting us. We've received your submission. Last season, we captured the regular-season championship and followed that up with a nice ATS run through the postseason, including a Bengals cover and the Under in Super Bowl LVI. Some believe this season will be an even hotter dumpster fire than usual. But even the naysayers credit GM Joe Douglas for increasing the talent level of the team. Lamar Jackson might not like it. Those numbers are hidden deep inside the unsuccessful tenures of Pat Shurmur and Joe Judge. Yes, the Falcons could be the worst team in the NFL, but in theory you would have had the inferior team in each of those games and won 73 percent of them. Bears will be a different defense without Akiem Hicks up front. So many systems at play here.

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Anthony Richardson is very much a work in progress. While analysts believe the Vikings won't have the same success in tight contests, the offense can still score points in bunches, which explains the six-point spread. Plus, Houston is banged up on the offensive line. This feels like a toss-up game. But the Colts are also pretty bad. I am ready to be hurt again. The Titans signed cornerback Sean Murphy-Bunting to patch up their coverage on the boundary, and the four-time Pro Bowler may test him early in the game. Instead, ATS betting is placing your money that Team A wins by a certain amount of points or that Team B will keep the game closer than oddsmakers expect. After an inspiring season of HBO's Hard Knocks , the New York Jets will look to enter the Super Bowl discussion with the addition of quarterback Aaron Rodgers, running back Dalvin Cook and the return of a defensive core largely responsible for allowing the fourth-fewest points and yards last season. Email required. Commanders In an open competition for the left tackle job, Dan Moore Jr.

Last season, I went a solid But this is meant as a realistic look at the betting market, and no one can maintain a winning percentage like that. I'll happily take 55 percent every season just wish it was that easy.

Furthermore, Minnesota has question marks on defense after the unit gave up the fifth-most points last year. Reddit Pocket Flipboard Email. Moton feels a little skeptical about the Ravens, but he's not going to fade a perennial playoff contender. The fact that the line moved all of 1. The main reason that I love this bet is that the Patriots defense has struggled against mobile quarterbacks over the past few seasons. Bettors must ask themselves one question before they make a wager on this game: Who's going to be Patrick Mahomes' lead pass-catching target if tight end Travis Kelce sits out? Saints While third-year tight end Noah Gray could see an expanded workload in Kelce's absence, he may remain an afterthought in the passing attack. NFL Week 1 Picks. However, one of those five losses came against Dallas even without Dak Prescott under center. Moreover, the Ravens lost their sack leader, Justin Houston, in free agency, and All-Pro cornerback Marlon Humphrey won't suit up as he recovers from foot surgery. According to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport , the signal-caller has trended in the right direction since recently returning for full practices. Pickswise is the best website to get free expert NFL picks against the spread. Bucs win: Are they the team everyone thought the Falcons would be? But will the Texans be able to score enough to cover?