Met office long range weather forecast

A cloudy day, with outbreaks of rain moving north and westwards. Some bright or sunny breaks at times, mainly towards central and western parts. Heavy showers towards the southwest.

The extended range forecast, which includes the monthly and seasonal forecasts, can at times provide an insight into weather patterns in the months ahead. However, they should not be used for specific planning purposes as they have generally low skill compared with the day forecast. This is because forecasts beyond one week become increasingly uncertain due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere. Further information can be found here Monthly and seasonal forecast explained. Low pressure to the south of Ireland and high pressure to the north will bring mixed conditions through week 1. The south and east are likely to see wetter than average conditions through the week with drier than average conditions expected in the north and west. Mean temperatures are predicted to remain slightly above average, but closer to average in parts of the north and west.

Met office long range weather forecast

Around the middle of next week, conditions are expected to once again turn unsettled across western areas with outbreaks of rain and perhaps some strong winds, particularly in the northwest. Elsewhere, mostly dry at first with some sunshine. By the end of next week, conditions are likely to become more widely unsettled with rain and showers for all regions at times, although the wettest weather is likely to the in the south and west, with some drier and brighter spells still likely in the north and east. Showers could be heavy at times in the south, with a risk of thunderstorms here. Temperatures will be near or slightly above normal, although there is risk of some colder interludes, with overnight frost, across northern and eastern areas. During late-March and into the start of April, pressure is likely to remain higher than average to the north of the UK. This pattern tends to push the focus of unsettled weather further south than usual, with highest rainfall most likely to be in the south of the UK. Conversely, northern areas tend to be drier compared to normal. Temperatures will probably be near average or slightly above overall, with any cooler interludes most likely in the north. Ever wondered why our forecasts for 5 days and beyond are written on the scale of the UK as a whole? When looking at forecasts beyond five days into the future the chaotic nature of the atmosphere starts to come into play - small events currently over the Atlantic can have potentially significant impacts on our weather in the UK in several days' time. Therefore whilst we can still forecast the general feel of the weather to a relatively high level of accuracy using our ensemble models, it becomes harder to offer local detail to as high a level of accuracy as our shorter range forecasts.

Temperatures will probably be near average or slightly above overall, with any cooler interludes most likely in the north.

Find out more about our day weather forecasts for the UK and how to use them. The day forecast is part of our extended-range outlook. Nowcasting maps the current weather and then uses an estimate of its speed and direction of movement to forecast the weather a short period ahead - assuming the weather will move without significant changes. At the Met Office nowcasting is combined with the latest high resolution model output to form a detailed forecast out to six hours. This forecast is updated every hour.

From the end of the week a broadly unsettled pattern continues. Friday likely seeing longer spells of rain clearing northern areas whilst showers, sometimes heavy with thunderstorms developing elsewhere, though some brighter spells at times and clearing skies overnight. Temperatures feeling mild out of the fresh winds. Through the weekend further bands of rain expected to push in from the west and southwest, breaking to showers at times. Into the new week temperatures trend down toward average for the time of year as the broadly unsettled pattern continues with periods of rain, heaviest in western areas push across the country to be followed by occasional showers, with a risk of thunderstorms mainly in the south. During late-March and into the start of April, pressure is likely to remain higher than average to the north of the UK.

Met office long range weather forecast

Seasonably chillier and changeable conditions early in the new week should be followed by milder conditions from midweek onwards. It will be unsettled though with bands of rain coming from the south-west, accompanied at times by some fresh or strong winds. After mid-March, uncertainty grows but we are most likely to see high pressure to the north and west with low pressure generally to the south. This should encourage winds to blow from chillier directions with temperatures falling closer to seasonal, and there will be some risks of turning a bit colder than that. This kind of set-up should mean wetter and windier conditions overall in southern regions compared with the northern UK. After a changeable and breezy weekend, some chillier air will move in for the start of the coming week. However, temperatures are most likely to fall near average for early March rather than below, and winds are going to decrease. That could allow some overnight fog to develop, and although there will be a better chance of drier weather there will still be a little patchy precipitation around, mostly light and only wintry at higher elevations in Scotland. From midweek onwards, bands of rain are expected to move in from the south-west as Atlantic low pressure systems approach, occasionally heavy and thundery, mainly in southern areas, with relatively short-lived brighter periods. This will also have the effect of drawing in warmer air, with temperatures rising above the seasonal average.

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Temperatures above freezing. Tue 12 Mar - Thu 14 Mar. Temperatures will be near or slightly above normal, although there is risk of some colder interludes, with overnight frost, across northern and eastern areas. WSW 3. The number is the average wind speed. Flood alerts in force for Wales. Maximum daytime temperature: 19 degrees Celsius ; Minimum nighttime temperature: 9 degrees Celsius. Fri 15 Mar. Read more about the period of waves. Home All countries United Kingdom Wales. Lighter winds than of late and temperatures around average for the time of year. Thu 14 Mar. Some bright spells to start though showery outbreaks moving in from the east during the day, these persistent at times with heavy bursts possible. Ever wondered why our forecasts for 5 days and beyond are written on the scale of the UK as a whole?

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Temperatures rising a little. Showers could be heavy at times in the south, with a risk of thunderstorms here. Around the middle of next week, conditions are expected to once again turn unsettled across western areas with outbreaks of rain and perhaps some strong winds, particularly in the northwest. Temperatures will be near or slightly above normal, although there is risk of some colder interludes, with overnight frost, across northern and eastern areas. Nowcasting maps the current weather and then uses an estimate of its speed and direction of movement to forecast the weather a short period ahead - assuming the weather will move without significant changes. View all locations in Wales. Met Office forecasters consider output from a range of weather models when writing these forecasts. ESE 3. Maximum daytime temperature: 19 degrees Celsius ; Minimum nighttime temperature: 8 degrees Celsius. Drier by the end of the night and winds will ease too. Flood warnings in force for England. Thu 14 Mar - Sun 7 Apr.